Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$32K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 31?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705520
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 50%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 36%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 10%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Marc
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
15% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Trough probability
1% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -7.0pp
17% → 10%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
6% YES (-0.8pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-5.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this