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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?

Closes April 10, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
59%FIS
+4ppvs market 55%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +3.6pp above current market price; market at 55% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.1% ↑, ETH +0.8% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +1.1% ↑, ETH +0.8% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑
+3.6pp
Live compute07:02 PM

Polymarket Price

64%YES
37%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

55% / 58%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

60%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+8.7pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 60%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846020

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+13.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

55%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: +8.0pp

55% → 63%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

63% YES (+8.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 64%99%
Buy YES@ 64¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 37¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this