Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.2pp below current market price; market at 46% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -2.7% ↓, ETH -4.1% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
44% / 48%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13?" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891910
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 12: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 13: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
44% YES (-5.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this