Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 12:16 PM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES

44%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

54% / 59%

Spread

5.20pp

Expert Signal

56%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 27?

March

Full event →

above $1,600 on March 27?

100%

above $1,700 on March 27?

100%

above $1,900 on March 27?

96%

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?

55%

above $2,000 on March 27?

44%

between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 27?

40%

above $2,100 on March 27?

above $2,200 on March 27?

above $2,300 on March 27?

above $2,400 on March 27?

above $2,600 on March 27?

above $2,500 on March 27?

12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+47.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

10% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: +41.0pp

11% → 52%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

57% YES (+5.2pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 56%99%

Buy YES@ 56¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 44¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 5.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662877

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