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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?

Closes April 6, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
77%FIS
+1ppvs market 76%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +0.6pp above current market price; market at 76% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +0.9% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +0.9% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑
+0.6pp
Live compute05:58 AM

Polymarket Price

76%YES
24%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

75% / 77%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

76%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792528

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

70% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

73% YES (+4.5pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 76%99%
Buy YES@ 76¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 24¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this