Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823907
This event has 29 active outcome markets. XRP dip to $1.20 in April?: 23%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 21%, Solana dip to $70 in April?: 13%.
XRP dip to $1.00 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
4% YES (+0.4pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-11.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this