Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
21% / 26%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823906
This event has 29 active outcome markets. XRP dip to $1.20 in April?: 24%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 20%, Solana dip to $70 in April?: 13%.
XRP dip to $1.20 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
30% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Trough probability
23% YES — lowest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: -6.0pp
30% → 24%
Apr 13, 2026
Current
24% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this