Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
April 2026
Consensus Probability
14%
Weak5%
Polymarket10% avg · 10 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026? | 13% | $386K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? | 58% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026? | 2% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026? | 19% | $763 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026? | 0% | $590 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026? | 2% | $532 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026? | 1% | $461 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026? | 1% | $450 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? | 1% | $411 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026? | 1% | $410 | standalone |