Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
March
Consensus Probability
13%
Moderate65%
Polymarket11% avg · 8 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. Some spread between venues — treat as directional signal.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29) | 16% | $10K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29) | 10% | $2K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Chuck Norris" this week? (March 29) | 6% | $2K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29) | 18% | $2K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Kaitlan Collins" this week? (March 29) | 4% | $720 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Eat our Lunch" this week? (March 29) | 7% | $516 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Embargo" this week? (March 29) | 14% | $323 | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 29) | 16% | $269 | standalone |