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Markets/Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 29)
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Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 29)

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
82%NO

Volume 24h

$269

Liquidity

$292

Bid / Ask

11% / 25%

Spread

14.00pp

Expert Signal

18%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 82¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 29)" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $269 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 14.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 29)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1665149