Will Trump say "Embargo" this week? (March 29)
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$323
Liquidity
$241
Bid / Ask
9% / 20%
Spread
11.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
March
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Embargo" this week? (March 29)" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $323 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 11.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will Trump say "Embargo" this week? (March 29)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1665148
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