ForecastMind

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before…

2027

Consensus Probability

7%
Weak5%
Polymarket13% avg · 15 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Outcome Breakdown

3.25%64%
1.25%26%
2.5%15%
2.0%13%
2.25%11%
4.25%10%
1.5%10%
1.75%9%
0.25%7%
0.5%6%
5.25%6%
4.5%5%
5.5%4%
4.75%4%
5.0%3%
Implied total (sum of outcomes)100%

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?(5.25%)6%$104Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?(0.25%)7%$103Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?(1.5%)10%$24Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?(2.25%)11%$22Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?(5.5%)4%$21Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?(4.75%)4%$15Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?(2.0%)13%$14Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?(0.5%)6%$9Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?(1.75%)9%$6Kchild
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?(1.25%)26%$893child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?(5.0%)3%$223child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?(2.5%)15%$170child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?(3.25%)64%$170child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?(4.25%)10%$169child
PolymarketWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?(4.5%)5%$95child
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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before… — 7% Consensus | ForecastMind