Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?
Closes November 3, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -2.0pp below current market price; market at 4% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -4.0% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑, DXY -0.2% ↓.
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
3% / 5%
Spread
2.50pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 2.50 percentage points. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1282953
This event has 27 active outcome markets. the Democratic Party: 94%, the Democratic Party: 94%, the Democratic Party: 94%.
Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this