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Markets/Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?
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Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?

5%YES
95%NO
Vol 24h$140
Liquidity$18K
Bid / Ask5% / 6%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026

FM Estimate

3%

Market Price

6%
↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-4.9pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $140 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1283872