Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$481
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
12% / 15%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
14 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
13% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $481 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1370729
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.