Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Closes April 12, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$653
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
16% / 18%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National…
2026
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $653 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1503857
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