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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?
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Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$432K

Liquidity

$595K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

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1%Market: YES 99%99%
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EV per $ wagered

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $432K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543366