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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 24?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 24?

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

99%YES
1%NO

Volume 24h

$27K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

99% / 99%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

98% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

99% YES (+0.4pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 24?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628560