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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

82%YES
18%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

80% / 82%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

79%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+7.1pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

March

Full event →
above $1,800 on March 23?
100%
above $2,000 on March 23?
100%
above $1,900 on March 23?
100%
above $1,800 on March 24?
100%
above $1,900 on March 24?
99%
above $2,100 on March 23?
98%
above $2,000 on March 24?
98%
above $2,100 on March 24?
82%
above $2,200 on March 24?
38%
$2,400 in March?
34%
above $2,200 on March 23?
13%
above $2,300 on March 24?
9%
above $2,400 on March 24?
2%
above $2,500 on March 24?
1%
between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 23?
0%
above $2,300 on March 23?
0%
above $2,600 on March 24?
0%
above $2,700 on March 24?
0%
between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?
0%
above $2,400 on March 23?
0%
less than $1,800 on March 23?
0%
above $2,500 on March 23?
0%
above $2,800 on March 24?
0%
above $2,600 on March 23?
0%

24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+9.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 82%99%
Buy YES@ 82¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 18¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?" at 82% YES / 18% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 82%, NO 18%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628563

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