Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 26?
Closes March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$27K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
4% / 7%
Spread
3.30pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?
March
39 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Trough probability
1% YES — lowest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
2% YES (-2.7pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-16.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 26?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 3.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1724737
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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