Will GERB-SDS win between 50-54 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$72
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
3% / 11%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will GERB-SDS win between 50-54 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $72 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will GERB-SDS win between 50-54 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738309
This event has 25 active outcome markets. GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026: 89%, Progressive Bulgaria (PB): 89%, 5: 46%.
GERB-SDS win between 50-54 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this