Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
10% / 12%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738482
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Progressive Bulgaria (PB): 91%, GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026: 90%, 5: 45%.
Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in th
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this