Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
30% / 32%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
31%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738483
This event has 25 active outcome markets. GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026: 89%, Progressive Bulgaria (PB): 89%, 5: 46%.
Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 85-89 seats in th
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this