Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$38K
Bid / Ask
5% / 8%
Spread
2.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786325
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 16%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 11%, Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~59%.
Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
2% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
27%
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -38.5pp
67% → 28%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.8pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-16.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this