Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$37K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786352
This event has 13 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 74%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?: 36%, Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?: 24%.
Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
8%
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -43.5pp
51% → 7%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
3% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-11.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this