ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
Share on X

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

15%YES
85%NO

Volume 24h

$91K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

14% / 16%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

15%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

+5.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

57%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +8.5pp

49% → 57%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

57% YES (+8.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 15%99%
Buy YES@ 15¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 85¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $91K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1796476

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.