Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.9pp below current market price; market at 96% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -1.6% ↓, ETH -1.8% ↓, S&P +0.4% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$28K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
96% / 96%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $28K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1807998
This event has 21 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
97% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
96% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
-7.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this