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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 7?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
38%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

64% / 66%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

67%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+8.5pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 7?" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 67%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808000

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-14.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

73% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Trough probability

58% YES — lowest in period

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: -16.0pp

78% → 62%

Apr 6, 2026

Peak probability

81% YES — highest in period

Apr 6, 2026

Current

59% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this