Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$314K
Liquidity
$57K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $314K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846094
This event has 26 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 10: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 10: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: +6.3pp
1% → 8%
Apr 8, 2026
Peak probability
8% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this