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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?

Closes April 11, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
76%FIS
+1ppvs market 75%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 75% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.4% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.4% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓
+0.7pp
Live compute10:22 AM

Polymarket Price

75%YES
25%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$26K

Bid / Ask

75% / 76%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

75%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862561

Outcome Markets38 markets

This event has 38 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?: 100%.

price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?

75%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 75%99%
Buy YES@ 75¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 25¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this