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Markets/Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?
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Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?

Closes April 13, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
41%FIS
+4ppvs market 37%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +3.8pp above current market price; market at 37% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.1% ↑, ETH +1.7% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +1.1% ↑, ETH +1.7% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓
+3.8pp
Pre-computed · refreshes every 6h04:12 PM

Polymarket Price

51%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$57K

Liquidity

$29K

Bid / Ask

48% / 51%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $57K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886064

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: -13.0pp

49% → 36%

Apr 10, 2026

Peak probability

49% YES — highest in period

Apr 10, 2026

Current

36% YES (-13.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this