Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15?
Closes April 15, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.0pp above current market price; market at 3% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.5% ↑, ETH -1.0% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
1.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1919262
This event has 28 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 16: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -5.4pp
10% → 5%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
3% YES (-2.6pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this