Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 16?
Closes April 16, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -2.3pp below current market price; market at 52% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.7% ↓, ETH -2.3% ↓, S&P +1.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
54% / 58%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
58%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 16?" at 67% YES / 33% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 58%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 16?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 67%, NO 33%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1928758
This event has 44 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 16: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 16?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
78% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -10.5pp
74% → 64%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
56% YES (-9.5pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this