Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
41% / 44%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
42%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1943405
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5: 51%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5: 47%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5: 45%.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
43% YES (-3.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this