Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$108K
Bid / Ask
49% / 50%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1959964
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5: 53%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5: 50%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5: 49%.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
51% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this