Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?
Closes April 14, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +7.0pp above current market price; market at 55% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +2.4% ↑, ETH +1.8% ↑, S&P +1.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$39K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
62% / 66%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $39K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1965073
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 66%.
Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: -21.0pp
48% → 27%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
48% YES — highest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Current
43% YES (+16.5pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this