Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
57% / 61%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
59%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/666662
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 77%, Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 59%, Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration be: 58%.
Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 202
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: +12.5pp
51% → 63%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
63% YES (+12.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this