Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$404
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
65% / 90%
Spread
25.00pp
Expert Signal
78%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $404 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 78%. The bid-ask spread is 25.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/666667
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 78%, Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 62%, Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration be: 58%.
Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.2%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this