ForecastMind
Markets/Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Share on X

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

33%YES
67%NO

Volume 24h

$567

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

32% / 34%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

33%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $567 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/948387

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 75%, Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 65%, Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration be: 57%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 33%99%
Buy YES@ 33¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 67¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this