ForecastMind
Markets/76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
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76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$55K

Bid / Ask

51% / 55%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →
76ers vs. Heat
56%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
52%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
48%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
46%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5
45%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
44%

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

53% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 53%99%
Buy YES@ 53¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 47¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786728

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.