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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
Share on X

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$90K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

27% / 36%

Spread

9.00pp

Expert Signal

44%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →
76ers vs. Heat
63%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
54%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5
48%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
44%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
39%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
37%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
37%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5
26%

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+5.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

57%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +8.5pp

49% → 57%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

57% YES (+8.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 56¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $90K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1796476

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.