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Markets/Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Closes April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

69%YES
32%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$1K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/902021

Outcome Markets49 markets

This event has 49 active outcome markets. DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 69%, Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 51%, Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 45%.

DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

69%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 69%99%
Buy YES@ 69¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 31¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this