Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$34K
Bid / Ask
33% / 45%
Spread
12.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/902144
This event has 49 active outcome markets. DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100%, Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 52%, Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 45%.
Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this