Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$46K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
33% / 40%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
19 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
32% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: +5.5pp
32% → 37%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
37% YES (+5.5pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $46K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1356657
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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