Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$221K
Liquidity
$28K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $221K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/675032
This event has 32 active outcome markets. Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?: 100%, Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?: 99%, Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after laun: 95%.
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this