EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$47K
Liquidity
$58K
Bid / Ask
22% / 24%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
22%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
19 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 10, 2026
Trough probability
17% YES — lowest in period
Mar 20, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Mar 17, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
17%
Mar 19, 2026
Biggest move: -28.5pp
46% → 17%
Mar 19, 2026
Current
24% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $47K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/666494
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