Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
FM Estimate
65%Market Price
63%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 6 active outcome markets. June 30, 2026: 68%, April 22, 2026: 63%, May 31, 2026: 60%.
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?" at 63% YES / 37% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 63%, NO 37%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2036399