Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$44K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
1.40pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 2?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 1.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823961
This event has 17 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 85%, December 31, 2026: 66%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 48%.
Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
2% YES (-1.4pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this