Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
FM Estimate
73%Market Price
76%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 38 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Chun Jae-soo: 76%, Kareem Allam: 33%.
Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 81%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on June 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/679159