Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
1.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.30 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1832597
This event has 13 active outcome markets. June 30: 54%, June 30: 26%, June 30: 20%.
Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United Sta
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-13.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this